Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.001358 0.001429 0.001502 0.001583 0.001670 0.001760 0.001861
2025-06-15 0.001232 0.001334 0.001441 0.001565 0.001702 0.001852 0.002028
2025-06-22 0.001147 0.001268 0.001400 0.001556 0.001736 0.001939 0.002185
2025-06-29 0.001077 0.001211 0.001361 0.001542 0.001756 0.002004 0.002316
2025-07-06 0.001018 0.001160 0.001323 0.001524 0.001767 0.002056 0.002429
2025-07-13 0.000957 0.001103 0.001273 0.001486 0.001750 0.002070 0.002493
2025-07-20 0.000925 0.001079 0.001260 0.001491 0.001783 0.002144 0.002634
2025-07-27 0.000899 0.001060 0.001252 0.001501 0.001820 0.002224 0.002785
2025-08-03 0.000881 0.001048 0.001251 0.001518 0.001868 0.002318 0.002958
2025-08-10 0.000854 0.001026 0.001235 0.001516 0.001888 0.002376 0.003084
2025-08-17 0.000817 0.000987 0.001197 0.001482 0.001865 0.002374 0.003125
2025-08-24 0.000788 0.000958 0.001172 0.001463 0.001860 0.002395 0.003199
2025-08-31 0.000768 0.000943 0.001163 0.001469 0.001891 0.002472 0.003365
2025-09-07 0.000743 0.000918 0.001142 0.001457 0.001898 0.002516 0.003483
2025-09-14 0.000721 0.000898 0.001126 0.001450 0.001912 0.002570 0.003622
2025-09-21 0.000698 0.000875 0.001106 0.001438 0.001916 0.002608 0.003737
2025-09-28 0.000676 0.000852 0.001085 0.001421 0.001914 0.002636 0.003837
2025-10-05 0.000648 0.000822 0.001052 0.001387 0.001884 0.002620 0.003865
2025-10-12 0.000636 0.000811 0.001046 0.001392 0.001910 0.002692 0.004041
2025-10-19 0.000626 0.000803 0.001043 0.001400 0.001943 0.002775 0.004241
2025-10-26 0.000618 0.000799 0.001045 0.001417 0.001988 0.002879 0.004484
2025-11-02 0.000606 0.000787 0.001035 0.001414 0.002004 0.002937 0.004649
2025-11-09 0.000585 0.000762 0.001007 0.001384 0.001974 0.002917 0.004673